Modelo para prever evolução do preço de commodities minerais com o tempo: Aplicação para o preço das Terras-Raras / Model for predicting mineral commodity price evolution over time: Application to the price of Rare Earths

Authors

  • Marcos Flavio de Campos

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.34117/bjdv6n9-400

Keywords:

commodities, Lotka-Volterra, minério, preços, investimento, terras-raras.

Abstract

Um modelo para prever a evolução do preço de commodities com o tempo é apresentado. O modelo baseia-se nas equações do modelo predador-presa, denominadas equações de Lotke-Volterra. O modelo ajuda a prever o momento correto para investimentos. Uma característica importante do modelo é prever a ocorrência de bolhas. A possibilidade de detecção de bolhas pode evitar a ocorrência de crises, ou pelo menos amenizar essas crises. O modelo é proposto para commodities minerais, mas pode ser aplicado para commodities agrícolas e também para a economia em geral.

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Published

2020-09-17

How to Cite

Campos, M. F. de. (2020). Modelo para prever evolução do preço de commodities minerais com o tempo: Aplicação para o preço das Terras-Raras / Model for predicting mineral commodity price evolution over time: Application to the price of Rare Earths. Brazilian Journal of Development, 6(9), 69365–69377. https://doi.org/10.34117/bjdv6n9-400

Issue

Section

Original Papers